Risk factors for intubation and mortality in patients treated with high flow nasal cannula due to COVID-19 infection. Survival Analysis Study in a Northern Mexican Population

Background COVID-19-related acute hypoxic respiratory failure patients often use high-flow nasal cannula (HFNO) oxygen therapy. COVID-19 HFNO intubation and mortality risk factors are understudied in the Mexican population, so the aim was to study them. Methods This retrospective study searched electronic medical records from March 2020 to June 2022 for patients with COVID-19 who required hospitalization and HFNO. Descriptive statistics, a survival curve analysis, and Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine predictor factors for intubation and mortality in patients with HFNO and COVID-19, respectively. Results A total of 134 patients received HFNO treatment. Ninety-one (67.9%) were men with a mean (SD) age of 54.5 (17.9) years. Common medical history included obesity (n = 89, 66.4%) with a Body Mass Index (BMI) mean (SD) of 31.8 (5.9), hypertension (n = 67, 50.0%), type 2 diabetes (n = 55, 41.0%), and dyslipidemias (n = 43, 32.1%). The variables associated with a greater risk of requiring intubation after high-flow therapy were age (HR = 1.018, 95% CI 1.003-1.034, p = 0.022) and BMI (HR = 1.071, 95% CI 1.024-1.120, p = 0.003). No variables were associated with lower risk. Increased mortality was associated with increasing age (HR = 1.151, 95% CI 1.102-1.201, p = <0.001), hypertension (HR = 4.092, 95% CI 1.369-12.236, p = 0.012), and dyslipidemia (HR = 3.954, 95% CI 1.395- 11.209, p = 0.010). Patients with type 2 diabetes had a lower risk of mortality (HR = 0.235, 95% CI 0.080-0.688, p = 0.008). Conclusions A higher age and BMI were associated with an increased risk of intubation in patients with HFNO and COVID-19. Hypertension and dyslipidemias were associated with a higher risk of mortality.