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Factors associated with infection and hospitalization of Zika cases during the 2016–2018 outbreak in Mexico

  • Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social
    ,
  • Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon
    ,
  • Registro de Cáncer de Base Poblacional (RCBP)-Mérida
Research Output:
Contribution to journal
Article
Peer-review

Open access

Sustainable Development Goals

  • SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well

Publication metrics

Metrics

SciVal
Author count
14
SciVal
Paper percentile
45

Abstract

The Mexican Social Security Institute registered a significant number of suspected Zika virus (ZIKV) cases during the 2016–2018 outbreak. This study aims to describe the distribution of confirmed ZIKV cases, their correlation with rainfall and temperature, and associated factors with infection or hospitalization, considering pregnancy. A retrospective analysis was performed on 13,259 suspected ZIKV cases. Binary logistic regression was performed to determine potentially associated factors with infection or hospitalization. Correlations between positive cases and environmental factors were analyzed using the Pearson correlation and an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) test. Female sex and age > 30 were associated with ZIKV infection when excluding pregnant women. In pregnant women, a higher infection rate in the first and second trimesters compared to third trimester was observed. In Veracruz, rainfall correlated with positive cases in 2016 (n = 5; r = 0.9977, p < 0.001) and 2017 (n = 12; r = 0.7467, p = 0.005) correlated with rainfall only in 2017 (r = 0.7975, p = 0.002); this was not significant with the ARIMA analysis. Further research is suggested to elucidate factors involved in the transmission, pathogenicity and epidemiology of this and other vector-borne disease viruse.

Publication Information

Output type

Research Output:
Contribution to journal
Article
Peer-review

Original language

English

Article number

37585

Journal (Volume, Issue Number)

Scientific Reports (Volume 15, Issue 1)

Publication milestones

  • Published - 12/2025

Publication status

Published - 12/2025

ISSN

2045-2322

Publication IDs

  • Scopus: 105020312362
  • PubMed: 41152272