Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia

José D. Morcillo; Ana Paula Burgos; Martha Garza; Stephany Obregón; Ángel Galindo

doi:10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444

Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia

José D. Morcillo, Ana Paula Burgos, Martha Garza, Stephany Obregón, Ángel Galindo

Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica y Eléctrica

Producción científica

1 Cita (Scopus)

Resumen

This research was carried out for a Commercial Chain of Convenience Stores in order to increase the potential of its demand forecasting models and thus improve its logistics planning and decision making. Additionally, in 2018, the company noticed a significant increase in the level of its sales during a heat wave that was experienced in the country. For this reason, it was necessary to improve the forecasting models and validate the importance of external variables. Different univariate and multivariate forecasting models were built and validated, and then two were selected to propose the most suitable forecasting method and a final application.

Título traducido de la contribución	Design and implementation of forecasting models to estimate the beverage demand in convenience stores
Idioma original	Spanish
Título de la publicación alojada	19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology
Subtítulo de la publicación alojada	"Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Proceedings
Editores	Maria M. Larrondo Petrie, Luis Felipe Zapata Rivera, Catalina Aranzazu-Suescun
Editorial	Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions
ISBN (versión digital)	9789585207189
DOI	https://doi.org/10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444
Estado	Published - 2021
Evento	19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Virtual, Online Duración: 19 jul 2021 → 23 jul 2021

Serie de la publicación

Nombre	Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology
Volumen	2021-July
ISSN (versión digital)	2414-6390

Conference

Conference	19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021
Ciudad	Virtual, Online
Período	19/7/21 → 23/7/21

Nota bibliográfica

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions. All rights reserved.

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

Ingeniería (miscelánea)
Educación

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10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444

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Morcillo, J. D., Burgos, A. P., Garza, M., Obregón, S., & Galindo, Á. (2021). Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia. En M. M. Larrondo Petrie, L. F. Zapata Rivera, & C. Aranzazu-Suescun (Eds.), 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Proceedings (Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology; Vol. 2021-July). Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions. https://doi.org/10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444

Morcillo, José D. ; Burgos, Ana Paula ; Garza, Martha et al. / Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia. 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Proceedings. editor / Maria M. Larrondo Petrie ; Luis Felipe Zapata Rivera ; Catalina Aranzazu-Suescun. Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions, 2021. (Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology).

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abstract = "This research was carried out for a Commercial Chain of Convenience Stores in order to increase the potential of its demand forecasting models and thus improve its logistics planning and decision making. Additionally, in 2018, the company noticed a significant increase in the level of its sales during a heat wave that was experienced in the country. For this reason, it was necessary to improve the forecasting models and validate the importance of external variables. Different univariate and multivariate forecasting models were built and validated, and then two were selected to propose the most suitable forecasting method and a final application.",

author = "Morcillo, {Jos{\'e} D.} and Burgos, {Ana Paula} and Martha Garza and Stephany Obreg{\'o}n and {\'A}ngel Galindo",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021 Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions. All rights reserved.; 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: {"}Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development{"} and {"}Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future{"}, LACCEI 2021 ; Conference date: 19-07-2021 Through 23-07-2021",

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doi = "10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444",

language = "Spanish",

series = "Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology",

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}

Morcillo, JD, Burgos, AP, Garza, M, Obregón, S & Galindo, Á 2021, Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia. En MM Larrondo Petrie, LF Zapata Rivera & C Aranzazu-Suescun (eds.), 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Proceedings. Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology, vol. 2021-July, Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions, 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021, Virtual, Online, 19/7/21. https://doi.org/10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444

Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia. / Morcillo, José D.; Burgos, Ana Paula; Garza, Martha et al.
19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Proceedings. ed. / Maria M. Larrondo Petrie; Luis Felipe Zapata Rivera; Catalina Aranzazu-Suescun. Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions, 2021. (Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology; Vol. 2021-July).

Producción científica

TY - GEN

T1 - Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia

AU - Morcillo, José D.

AU - Burgos, Ana Paula

AU - Garza, Martha

AU - Obregón, Stephany

AU - Galindo, Ángel

PY - 2021

Y1 - 2021

N2 - This research was carried out for a Commercial Chain of Convenience Stores in order to increase the potential of its demand forecasting models and thus improve its logistics planning and decision making. Additionally, in 2018, the company noticed a significant increase in the level of its sales during a heat wave that was experienced in the country. For this reason, it was necessary to improve the forecasting models and validate the importance of external variables. Different univariate and multivariate forecasting models were built and validated, and then two were selected to propose the most suitable forecasting method and a final application.

AB - This research was carried out for a Commercial Chain of Convenience Stores in order to increase the potential of its demand forecasting models and thus improve its logistics planning and decision making. Additionally, in 2018, the company noticed a significant increase in the level of its sales during a heat wave that was experienced in the country. For this reason, it was necessary to improve the forecasting models and validate the importance of external variables. Different univariate and multivariate forecasting models were built and validated, and then two were selected to propose the most suitable forecasting method and a final application.

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DO - 10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:85122020365

T3 - Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology

BT - 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology

A2 - Larrondo Petrie, Maria M.

A2 - Zapata Rivera, Luis Felipe

A2 - Aranzazu-Suescun, Catalina

PB - Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions

T2 - 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021

Y2 - 19 July 2021 through 23 July 2021

ER -

Morcillo JD, Burgos AP, Garza M, Obregón S, Galindo Á. Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia. En Larrondo Petrie MM, Zapata Rivera LF, Aranzazu-Suescun C, editores, 19th LACCEI International Multi-Conference for Engineering, Education Caribbean Conference for Engineering and Technology: "Prospective and Trends in Technology and Skills for Sustainable Social Development" and "Leveraging Emerging Technologies to Construct the Future", LACCEI 2021 - Proceedings. Latin American and Caribbean Consortium of Engineering Institutions. 2021. (Proceedings of the LACCEI international Multi-conference for Engineering, Education and Technology). doi: 10.18687/LACCEI2021.1.1.444

Diseño e implementación de modelos de pronóstico para estimar la demanda de bebidas en tiendas de conveniencia

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