Tourism and poverty reduction in Mexico: An ARDL cointegration approach

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

The objective of this paper was to investigate, with respect to the case of Mexico, the relationship between international tourism and the magnitude of poverty during the period of 1980–2017, through the use of an autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) cointegration model with a structural break. The econometric results obtained in this paper indicate that there is a long-term relationship between international tourism and the reduction of poverty. It was found that for every 1% increase in international tourism, household consumption per capita increases 0.46% (and, therefore, poverty decreases). In the short term, it was found that a 1% increase in international tourism leads to a 0.11 % increase in household consumption per capita (a decrease in poverty). The coefficient of the error correction model indicates that 23.9% of any movement into disequilibrium is corrected within one year. To corroborate these results, a Toda–Yamamoto Granger causality test was carried out, indicating a unidirectional causality relationship from international tourism towards the reduction of poverty.
Original languageEnglish
Article number845
Number of pages10
JournalSustainability (Switzerland)
Volume11
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 6 Feb 2019

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Distributed lag
International tourism
Cointegration
Mexico
Poverty
Tourism
Poverty reduction
Household consumption
Disequilibrium
Long-term relationships
Error correction model
Econometrics
Granger causality test
Causality
Structural breaks
Coefficients

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this

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Tourism and poverty reduction in Mexico: An ARDL cointegration approach. / Garza-Rodriguez, Jorge.

In: Sustainability (Switzerland), Vol. 11, No. 3, 845, 06.02.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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