Are average years of education losing predictive power for economic growth? An alternative measure through structural equations modeling

Henry Laverde-Rojas*, Juan C. Correa, Klaus Jaffe, Mario I. Caicedo

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The accumulation of knowledge required to produce economic value is a process that often relates to nations economic growth. Some decades ago many authors, in the absence of other available indicators, used to rely on certain measures of human capital such as years of schooling, enrollment rates, or literacy. In this paper, we show that the predictive power of years of education as a proxy for human capital started to dwindle in 1990 when the schooling of nations began to be homogenized. We developed a structural equation model that estimates a metric of human capital that is less sensitive than average years of education and remains as a significant predictor of economic growth when tested with both cross-section data and panel data.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere0213651
Pages (from-to)e0213651
JournalPLoS One
Volume14
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 21 Mar 2019
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2019 Laverde-Rojas et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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